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DoejiStar
DoejiStar

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3 days ago

Weekly Notes 2023.11.27

Trading the pain trade — The themes I’m most interested are the pain trades, that is — seemingly, to be short Equities Bonds Gold, and long Crude Oil and Dollars. So how did I get here? At the beginning of October I noted the possibility of SPX going to ATH’s if economic data continued…

Trading

13 min read

Weekly Notes 2023.11.27
Weekly Notes 2023.11.27
Trading

13 min read


Nov 20

2023.11.20 Weekly Notes

Edge of the acceptable range — Headlines are buzzing on inflation turning down and central banks being done, but I think the moves we’ve seen are now stretching the narratives too far — the main theme of my notes today. GS Vickie Chang comments also speaks of the similar risks that I’m seeing as well…

Trading

13 min read

2023.11.20 Weekly Notes
2023.11.20 Weekly Notes
Trading

13 min read


Nov 13

2023.11.13 Weekly Notes

Just close the f(OMO) door — Icymi, highlight of the week def has to be Powell, who is indeed… I’ve also started a weekly Substack with my good friend and colleague where we share a small number of charts that caught our eye and we find insightful in shaping our short-term views and trade…

Macro

8 min read

2023.11.13 Weekly Notes
2023.11.13 Weekly Notes
Macro

8 min read


Nov 6

2023.11.07 Weekly Notes

A cushioned-landing? — Global equities have put in a momentous bounce — the best week in almost a year which begs to question — how far can it run? This week I take a look at the technical structure of equity markets with their respective forward P/E charts to gauge what levels can…

Trading

16 min read

2023.11.07 Weekly Notes
2023.11.07 Weekly Notes
Trading

16 min read


Oct 30

2022.10.30 Weekly Notes

Favourable Treasury Supply Shock? — An extremely packed calendar, but more likely to be the most important of all for markets is the Treasury refunding meeting this week who are to make their Quarterly Refunding Announcement at 8:30am Wednesday. There is some expectation that the Treasury will apportion issuance in favour of T-bills given…

Trading

12 min read

2022.10.30 Weekly Notes
2022.10.30 Weekly Notes
Trading

12 min read


Oct 23

2023.10.24 Weekly Notes

A not so Black Monday — Took a slow and easy start to the week so going straight into the chart run and highlighting/opining on some key points as we go. To start, I don’t think anyone is kidding themselves about how bad the market currently looks and it’s drawing comparisons to 1987 (a.k.a. Black Monday)…

Macro

8 min read

2023.10.24 Weekly Notes
2023.10.24 Weekly Notes
Macro

8 min read


Oct 16

2023.10.16 Weekly Notes

Benji smiling again — USD held key support last week and DXY looks ready for a higher high. Last weekend I entertained the idea that SPX could potentially make new all-time-highs this year. But the CPI data on Thursday put a spanner in the works of that thesis and has made me flip…

Trading

10 min read

2023.10.16 Weekly Notes
2023.10.16 Weekly Notes
Trading

10 min read


Oct 8

Weekly Notes 2023.10.09

SPX to new all-time-highs? — Whilst I maintain my tactically bullish risk stance, this week I consider the possibility of where we could go from here particularly on the growing sense that yields may be plateauing as growth-concerns takes centre-stage with stagflation risks in the rear-view: inflation pressures waning — reacceleration fears has likely abated…

Trading

12 min read

Weekly Notes 2023.10.09
Weekly Notes 2023.10.09
Trading

12 min read


Oct 2

2023.10.03 Weekly Notes

Tactically Bullish — My views have been slowly evolving over the last 2 months and a summary of my prior notes provides a good picture of where I’m currently at: 2023.07.24 Market ‘vulnerability’ to be tested — noted increasing risk of market getting wrong-footed on the disinflation and strong growth narrative 2023.07.31 Bullish…

Trading

14 min read

2023.10.03 Weekly Notes
2023.10.03 Weekly Notes
Trading

14 min read


Sep 25

2023.09.25 Weekly Notes

Bearish but Nimble — I’ve been picking up some low ones in US equities on the idea that moves have been quite extended: yields showing tentative signs of getting exhausted, Oil rally stalling last week, and USD price action at technical inflection points showing tentative signs of stalling if not pulling back from current…

Trading

10 min read

2023.09.25 Weekly Notes
2023.09.25 Weekly Notes
Trading

10 min read

DoejiStar

DoejiStar

85 Followers

Macro Trading Journal

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