Open in app

Sign In

Write

Sign In

DoejiStar
DoejiStar

67 Followers

Home

About

4 days ago

2023.03.20 Weekly Notes

The Aversion-Reversion trade… — A late and brief one as I’m tight on time before flying back to Hong Kong. As titled, I begin the week looking at mean reversion moves of recent risk aversion moves, as well as of the thoughts and trading themes outlined in my prior weeks notes Mar-6th Expect volatility…

Trading

8 min read

2023.03.20 Weekly Notes
2023.03.20 Weekly Notes
Trading

8 min read


Mar 13

2023.03.13 Weekly Note

Cash is not trash — Firstly, there seems to be a tangible fear we are on the cusp of a major policy error after Powell kept the door open to a 50bps hike, a reacceleration of which is likely to induce a hard-landing recession sooner than was thought. …

Trading

10 min read

2023.03.13 Weekly Note
2023.03.13 Weekly Note
Trading

10 min read


Mar 6

2023.03.06 Weekly Notes

Expect volatility to bounce back — For what’s been some tough trading conditions of late, and as conflicted as I feel on my bearish views against the price action we’ve seen, technicals are often more important than what you think will or should happen ... So to start of the week, I’m willing to challenge my…

Trading

15 min read

2023.03.06 Weekly Notes
2023.03.06 Weekly Notes
Trading

15 min read


Feb 27

2023.02.27 Weekly Notes

The Dollar Blackhole — Some thoughts on the USD which is beginning to behave like a blackhole where everything else gravitates toward to its untimely end and why I think this is just the beginning of a long road ahead for broad risk. In case you’re not aware, there is…

Macro

11 min read

2023.02.27 Weekly Notes
2023.02.27 Weekly Notes
Macro

11 min read


Feb 20

2023.02.20 Weekly Note

Notable change in sentiment — FinTwit seemed to have turned bearish as early as late January but it was questionable, to me and a few of my colleagues at least, as we failed to see the triggers that would stifle the momentum in Equities. …

Trading

9 min read

2023.02.20 Weekly Note
2023.02.20 Weekly Note
Trading

9 min read


Feb 13

2023.02.13 Weekly Note

No where to hide but the Dollar — Nothing of particular to note this week, other that retaining the general risk-off bias held over previous weeks. I would add that I think this will be the kind of risk-off where ‘there is no where to hide but in USD’ as it is likely to be induced from the…

Trading

11 min read

2023.02.13 Weekly Note
2023.02.13 Weekly Note
Trading

11 min read


Feb 6

2023.02.05 Weekly Note

A very questionable rally — Something that took me by surprise last week was the very large MOC for the January-month-end on Tuesday, especially ahead of the FOMC decision and NFP that could very well swing the trend in the stock market rally. This got me looking: We saw 2 major bear market rallies last…

Trading

12 min read

2023.02.05 Weekly Note
2023.02.05 Weekly Note
Trading

12 min read


Jan 30

2023.01.30 Weekly note

Risk rally skating on thin-ice — Starting to lean bearish after what’s been a great start to the year… Thanks to the few I’ve been having discussions with, here are just a few of the many discussion points guiding my change of view: Cost-cutting focus: from what’s becoming more apparent from the early half of…

Trading

12 min read

2023.01.30 Weekly note
2023.01.30 Weekly note
Trading

12 min read


Jan 22

2023.01.21 Weekly Note

Bearish narratives lacking — Last weekend I talked about taking a cautious view on the market. While I still think that stance should be maintained, markets are seeing decreasing risks of a severe recession, which is a stark contrast to the extremely gloomy sentiment of Q4 last year. A look at the incoming data…

Trading

12 min read

2023.01.21 Weekly Note
2023.01.21 Weekly Note
Trading

12 min read


Jan 16

2023.01.16 Weekly note

Too much too soon? — Markets have made a strong bounce back across the board, from stocks, bonds to commodities and a weaker dollar. But I think it is time to be cautious again… CNBC and various asset managers are already talking about ‘new all-time-highs’ or ‘back to the highs’ for certain stocks, and…

Trading

8 min read

2023.01.16 Weekly note
2023.01.16 Weekly note
Trading

8 min read

DoejiStar

DoejiStar

67 Followers

Macro Trading Journal

Following
  • Manabesh Kar, CFA

    Manabesh Kar, CFA

  • Brent Donnelly

    Brent Donnelly

  • Edward Lomax

    Edward Lomax

  • The American Cityzen

    The American Cityzen

  • Pintail

    Pintail

Help

Status

Writers

Blog

Careers

Privacy

Terms

About

Text to speech